The Impact of the Temporal Distribution of Communicating Civilizations on their Detectability

We use a statistical model to investigate the detectability (defined by the requirement that they are in causal contact with us) of communicating civilizations within a volume of the universe surrounding our location. If the civilizations are located in our Galaxy, the detectability requirement imposes a strict constraint on their epoch of appearance and their communicating lifespan. This, in turn, implies that the fraction of civilizations of which we can find any empirical evidence strongly depends on the specific features of their temporal distribution. Our approach shed light on aspects of the problem that can escape the standard treatment based on the Drake equation. Therefore, it might provide the appropriate framework for future studies dealing with the evolutionary aspects of the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI).Comment: 17 pages, 1 figure. Accepted for publication in Astrobiolog

Cosmology from Planck

I briefly review some of the main scientific outputs expected from the upcoming Planck mission. Planck will map the CMB sky with 5' resolution and $\mu$K sensitivity, with minimal foreground contribution and superb control on systematics. It will collect the entire information enclosed in the temperature primary anisotropy signal and will also get a good measurement of the polarized component of the CMB. This will have profound implications on our knowledge of the physics of the early universe and on the determination of cosmological parameters.Comment: Proceedings of the Francesco Melchiorri Memorial Conference (Rome, Italy, April 12-14 2006). To appear in New Astron. Re

Neutrinos and dark energy constraints from future galaxy surveys and CMB lensing information

We explore the possibility of obtaining better constraints from future astronomical data by means of the Fisher information matrix formalism. In particular, we consider how cosmic microwave background (CMB) lensing information can improve our parameter error estimation. We consider a massive neutrino scenario and a time-evolving dark energy equation of state in the $\Lambda$CDM framework. We use Planck satellite experimental specifications together with the future galaxy survey Euclid in our forecast. We found improvements in almost all studied parameters considering Planck alone when CMB lensing information is used. In this case, the improvement with respect to the constraints found without using CMB lensing is of 93% around the fiducial value for the neutrino parameter. The improvement on one of the dark energy parameter reaches 4.4%. When Euclid information is included in the analysis, the improvements on the neutrino parameter constraint is of approximately 128% around its fiducial value. The addition of Euclid information provides smaller errors on the dark energy parameters as well. For Euclid alone, the FoM is a factor of $\sim$ 29 higher than that from Planck alone even considering CMB lensing. Finally, the consideration of a nearly perfect CMB experiment showed that CMB lensing cannot be neglected specially in more precise future CMB experiments since it provided in our case a 6 times better FoM in respect to the unlensed CMB analysis .Comment: Accepted for publication in PR

The Oxygen Bottleneck for Technospheres

On Earth, the development of technology required easy access to open air combustion, which is only possible when oxygen partial pressure, P(O$_2$), is above 18\%. This suggests that only planets with significant atmospheric oxygen concentrations will be capable of developing ``advanced'' technospheres and hence detectable technosignatures.Comment: 10 pages, 2 figure

Quantifying the information impact of future searches for exoplanetary biosignatures

One of the major goals for astronomy in the next decades is the remote search for biosignatures (i.e.\ the spectroscopic evidence of biological activity) in exoplanets. Here, we adopt a Bayesian statistical framework to discuss the implications of such future searches, both in the case when life is detected, and when no definite evidence is found. We show that even a single detection of biosignatures in the vicinity of our stellar system, in a survey of similar size to what will be obtainable in the next two decades, would affect significantly our prior belief on the frequency of life in the universe, even starting from a neutral or pessimistic stance. In particular, after such discovery, an initially agnostic observer would be led to conclude that there are more than $10^5$ inhabited planets in the galaxy with a probability exceeding $95$\%. However, this conclusion would be somewhat weakened by the viability of transfer of biological material over interstellar distances, as in panspermia scenarios. Conversely, the lack of significant evidence of biosignatures would have little effect, leaving the assessment of the abundance of life in the galaxy still largely undetermined.Comment: Published on PNA

The habitability of the Milky Way during the active phase of its central supermassive black hole

During the peak of their accretion phase, supermassive black holes in galactic cores are known to emit very high levels of ionizing radiation, becoming visible over intergalactic distances as quasars or active galactic nuclei (AGN). Here, we quantify the extent to which the activity of the supermassive black hole at the center of the Milky Way, known as Sagittarius A* (Sgr A*), may have affected the habitability of Earth-like planets in our Galaxy. We focus on the amount of atmospheric loss and on the possible biological damage suffered by planets exposed to X-ray and extreme ultraviolet (XUV) radiation produced during the peak of the active phase of Sgr A*. We find that terrestrial planets could lose a total atmospheric mass comparable to that of present day Earth even at large distances (~1 kiloparsec) from the galactic center. Furthermore, we find that the direct biological damage caused by Sgr A* to surface life on planets not properly screened by an atmosphere was probably significant during the AGN phase, possibly hindering the development of complex life within a few kiloparsecs from the galactic center.Comment: 6 pages, 2 figures. Published in Scientific Reports: http://rdcu.be/zYD